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International Uncertainty 2020. The international dimension of American domestic politics International Uncertainty 2020. The international dimension of American domestic politics
19 December 2019

International Uncertainty 2020. The international dimension of American domestic politics

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The USA remains the strongest and most influential country in the world. Despite all the differences, the American political elite is united in their desire to preserve and strengthen the US power. How will the internal political struggle, especially during the 2020 election campaign, affect US relations with its allies, their involvement in conflicts and their strategic course?

Moderator: Maxim SUCHKOV, Senior Research Fellow at the MGIMO Laboratory for International Trends Analysis

Speakers:

  • Deborah LARSON, Professor at the University of California
  • Xin ZHANG, Assistant Professor at the East China Normal University
  • Igor DENISOV, Senior Research Fellow at the Centre for East Asian and Shanghai Cooperation Studies of the MGIMO Institute for International Studies
  • William WOHLFORTH, Professor at the Dartmouth College
  • Kirill PETROV, Senior Research Fellow at the Centre for Political Elite Studies of the MGIMO Institute for International Studies
  • Anna KIREEVA, Research Fellow at the MGIMO Centre for Integrated Sinology and Regional Studies

Session of the 4th Moscow Conference on Political Risks and Forecasting “International Uncertainty 2020”.

The conference was organized by the Laboratory of International Trends Analysis, MGIMO University, within the framework of the research project, “Transformation of International System and the Next Innovation Wave”, which is supported by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation in accordance with the contract №14.641.31.0002 of April 26, 2018 on the allocation of a grant from the Government of the Russian Federation.

Moscow, December 19, 2019

International Uncertainty 2020. New Eurasia on the way to consolidation
19 December 2019

International Uncertainty 2020. New Eurasia on the way to consolidation

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The post-Soviet space is divided into a conflict zone and a development zone. Amid cooperation between post-Soviet countries and the EU having reached its potential limit, integration within the framework of the Eurasian Economic Union continues to deepen. Will it be possible to reduce the destructive potential of existing conflicts and contradictions in the coming years? To what extent is “integration of integrations” feasible?

Moderator: Sergey MARKEDONOV, Leading Research Fellow at the Euro-Atlantic Security Centre of the MGIMO Institute for International Studies

Speakers:

  • Marat SHIBUTOV, Member of the National Council of Public Confidence under the President (Kazakhstan)
  • Yevgeny PREIGERMAN, Director of the Minsk Dialogue Council on International Relations
  • Nikolay SILAEV, Leading Research Fellow at the Centre for Problems of the Caucasus and Regional Security of the MGIMO Institute for International Studies, Senior Research Fellow at the MGIMO Laboratory for International Trends Analysis
  • Ulugbek KHASANOV, Professor at the University of World Economy and Diplomacy of Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Uzbekistan
  • Evgeny MINCHENKO, Director of the Centre for Political Elite Studies of the MGIMO Institute for International Studies
  • Alexander ISKANDARYAN, Director of the Caucasus Institute in Yerevan
  • Andrey YERMOLAEV, Head of the “SOFIA” Strategic Group, philosopher (Ukraine)

Session of the 4th Moscow Conference on Political Risks and Forecasting “International Uncertainty 2020”.

The conference was organized by the Laboratory of International Trends Analysis, MGIMO University, within the framework of the research project, “Transformation of International System and the Next Innovation Wave”, which is supported by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation in accordance with the contract №14.641.31.0002 of April 26, 2018 on the allocation of a grant from the Government of the Russian Federation.

Moscow, December 19, 2019

International Uncertainty 2020. Opening ceremony. Session: The Great Eurasian Partnership International Uncertainty 2020. Opening ceremony. Session: The Great Eurasian Partnership
19 December 2019

International Uncertainty 2020. Opening ceremony. Session: The Great Eurasian Partnership

Opening ceremony of the 4th Moscow Conference on Political Risks and Forecasting “International Uncertainty 2020”
MGIMO Gorchakov Lyceum
13 March 2019

MGIMO Gorchakov Lyceum

Welcome Session and Session 1: Nonproliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction Welcome Session and Session 1: Nonproliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction
24 May 2018

Welcome Session and Session 1: Nonproliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction

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Second MGIMO-Fletcher Conference on Russian-American Relations 
24th May, 2018. Moscow, MGIMO University
Welcome Session:
Moderator: Andrey BAYKOV, Vice-President for Graduate and International Programs, MGIMO University
Georgy BORISENKO – Director, Department of North America, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russian Federation
Steven BLOCK – Academic Dean, Professor of International Economics, Director of the Program on International Development, The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University
Thomas M. LEARY – Minister Counselor for Public Affairs Embassy of the United States, Moscow
Session 1: Nonproliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction
How do Russia and the United States assess threats to the nonproliferation regime? To what extent do their assessments overlap or diverge? How much does the development of the North Korean nuclear program increase the threat of proliferation? What is the outlook for the Iran nuclear deal and prospects for its revision? How will the U.S. and Russian nuclear modernization plans affect the nonproliferation regime?
Moderator: Dmitriy STRELTSOV, Chair, Department for Oriental Studies, MGIMO University
Evgeny BUZHINSKIY – Chairman of the Executive Board, PIR Center, Lieutenant-General (Ret.)
Diana CHIGAS – Professor of Practice of International Negotiation and Conflict Resolution, The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University
Alexander NIKITIN – Professor, Department of Political Theory, MGIMO University

Session 2: Counterterrorism and Non-State Threats Session 2: Counterterrorism and Non-State Threats
24 May 2018

Session 2: Counterterrorism and Non-State Threats

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Second MGIMO-Fletcher Conference on Russian-American Relations 
24th May, 2018. Moscow, MGIMO University
How similar are Russian and U.S. approaches to combating terrorism? Does ISIS still pose a significant threat to international security? How strong are the military deconfliction arrangements between Russia and the United States against the backdrop of increased tensions around Syria? What are the two sides’ approaches to Afghanistan? Can radical Jihadism rise in other regions in the foreseeable future?
Moderator: Mikhail TROITSKIY, Dean, School of Government and International Affairs, MGIMO University
Irina ZVYAGELSKAYA – Professor, Chief Research Fellow, Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Monica TOFT – Professor of International Politics, The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University
Ivan SAFRANCHUK – Associate Professor, Department of World Politics, MGIMO University; Member of the Council on Foreign and Defense Policy

Session 4: Management of Common Spaces Session 4: Management of Common Spaces
24 May 2018

Session 4: Management of Common Spaces

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Second MGIMO-Fletcher Conference on Russian-American Relations 
24th May, 2018. Moscow, MGIMO University
How much do U.S. and Russian approaches to the governance of cyberspace diverge? How much management is needed for transborder information flows? What are the implications of climate change for the governance of the high seas and polar regions? How could Russia and the United States cooperate in the Arctic? What is the contribution of science diplomacy to bilateral cooperation?
Moderator: Chris MILLER, Assistant Professor of International History, The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University
Alexey BIRYUKOV – Senior Advisor, Centre for International Information Security, Science and Technology Policy, MGIMO University
Paul Arthur BERKMAN – Professor of Practice in Science Diplomacy, The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University
Alexander VYLEGZHANIN – Chair, Department of International Law, MGIMO University

Session 3: Competing Interpretations of International Law Session 3: Competing Interpretations of International Law
24 May 2018

Session 3: Competing Interpretations of International Law

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Second MGIMO-Fletcher Conference on Russian-American Relations 
24th May, 2018. Moscow, MGIMO University
What is the Russian perspective on the major challenges to international law? What is the American perspective on the role of legal instruments in the regulation of international politics? How do the two countries understand the principles of the “sovereign equality of states” and “non-interference in matters which are essentially within the domestic jurisdiction of states” in international law? What is the difference between Russia and the United States in understanding of the “general principles of law” and of jus cogens? How is international law related to national legal systems?
Moderator: Alexander VYLEGZHANIN, Chair, Department of International Law, MGIMO University
Anatoly KAPUSTIN – Deputy Director of Institute of Legislation and Comparative Law under the Russian Federation, President of Russian Association of International Law
Joel P. TRACHTMAN – Professor of International Law, The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University
Mikhail LYSENKO – Associate Professor, Department of International Law, MGIMO University, Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary

Session 5: Culture, Perceptions and Soft Power Session 5: Culture, Perceptions and Soft Power
24 May 2018

Session 5: Culture, Perceptions and Soft Power

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Second MGIMO-Fletcher Conference on Russian-American Relations 
24th May, 2018. Moscow, MGIMO University
To what extent do differences in approaches to norms contribute to the rise of tensions in the contemporary world? How is the concept of “soft power” understood in Moscow and Washington? To what extent do negative stereotypes contribute to the current tensions between Moscow and Washington? Is it possible to promote cultural exchanges and people-to-people contacts between Russia and the United States despite current political differences?
Moderator: Maxim KHARKEVICH, Associate Professor, Editor-in-Chief of research journals MGIMO Review of International Relations and Russian International Studies 
Mark KALININ – Head, Department for Cooperation in Education and Science, Russia’s Federal Agency for CIS Affairs, Compatriots Living Abroad and International Humanitarian Cooperation (Rossotrudnichestvo)
Vladimir PECHATNOV – Chair, Department of History and Politics of Europe and America, MGIMO University
Elizabeth H. PRODROMOU – Visiting Associate Professor of Conflict Resolution, The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University
Andranik MIGRANYAN – Professor of Political Science, MGIMO University

Session 6: The State of the Eurasian Economy Session 6: The State of the Eurasian Economy
24 May 2018

Session 6: The State of the Eurasian Economy

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Second MGIMO-Fletcher Conference on Russian-American Relations 
24th May, 2018. Moscow, MGIMO University
What is the current state of the Russian economy? What are the prospects of changes (for better or for worse) in the sanctions regime established by the United States? How do the current Western sanctions and Moscow’s response affect Russia’s engagement in the global economy? To what extent does Russia remain committed to Eurasian economic integration?
Moderator: Steven BLOCK – Academic Dean, Professor of International Economics, Director of the Program on International Development, The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University
Natalya IVANOVA – First Deputy Director, Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Daniel DREZNER – Professor of International Politics, The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University
Ruslan GRINBERG – Academic Director, Institute of Economy of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Closing Session 7: Easing Great Power Crises Closing Session 7: Easing Great Power Crises
24 May 2018

Closing Session 7: Easing Great Power Crises

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Second MGIMO-Fletcher Conference on Russian-American Relations 
24th May, 2018. Moscow, MGIMO University
Is the representation of the current period as a new era of great power rivalry correct? Are there realistic roadmaps to normalize Russian-American relations? What kind of concessions are required on both sides to overcome current tensions? To what extent do relations with China affect U.S. and Russian attitudes towards each other?
Moderator: Igor ISTOMIN, Associate Professor, Department of Applied International Political Analysis, MGIMO University
Vitaly NAUMKIN – Academic Director, Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Chris MILLER, Assistant Professor of International History, The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University
Tatyana SHAKLEINA – Chair, Department of Applied International Political Analysis, MGIMO University
Wrap-up
Andrey BAYKOV, Vice-President for Graduate and International Programs, MGIMO University
Daniel DREZNER – Professor of International Politics, The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University

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